sell EUR/USD + buy AUD/USD = sell EUR/AUD теж перспективно на підході до 1,3480 та 0,9325 відповідно
sell EUR/USD на підході до (1,3480)+buy AUD/USD(0,9325 )+buy USD/JPY(93) = GBP/USD buj 1.5420 та / або якщо не далуть то sell 1,59-1,60 Не можу кармільця залишити без уваги
Investors retreat from emerging markets and Japan The data show investor confidence has risen in the past month in spite of market instability and a 2.5% fall in global equities over the survey period. A net 56% of global investors believe the world economy will strengthen over the coming year, up from a net 48% in May. Equity allocations increased during the month, with a net 48% of asset allocators being overweight equities, compared with a net 41% in May.
Still, the survey showed that although allocations to the eurozone and U.S. rose, investment in global emerging market equities fell to their lowest since December 2008. A net 9% of asset allocators are now underweight emerging market equities--the first underweight reading since 2009 and down from a net 3% overweight reading last month.
underweight [ˌʌndə'weɪt] : вага нижче середнього
Investors now identify a China hard landing as the greatest tail risk--more of a concern than eurozone sovereigns or banks. A net 31% of regional fund managers say that China's economy will weaken in the coming 12 months, compared with a net 8% expressing that view in May.
"The biggest contrarian play in the market today is assets linked to China,"[Michael Hartnett, chief investment strategist at Merrill Lynch Global Research said. "The lows in emerging market equity and commodity allocations suggest the market has over-positioned itself for a shock from China."
A net 25% of the global panel says that emerging markets is the region they would most like to underweight in the coming 12 months, the lowest ever reading, according to the survey.
Bank of America noted allocations to commodities have also reached a record low with a net 32% of asset allocators holding underweight positions.
In Europe, the bank said optimism has risen. A net 6% of global asset allocators are overweight eurozone equities, representing a 14 percentage point swing from May when a net 8% were underweight. Last month, a net 13% selected the eurozone as the region they would most like to underweight in the coming year. That reading has now fallen to a net 1%.
Fear that Japan's three-pronged stimulus plan will fail has become investors' second-largest tail risk after China and interrupted the strong run in Japanese equities, Bank of America said. The survey showed the proportion of asset allocators overweight Japanese equities has fallen to a net 17% from May's seven-year high of a net 31%.
The survey also shows a rotation from bonds to equities. A net 50% of asset allocators say they are underweight bonds in June, up from a net 38% in May.
An overall total of 248 panelists with $708 billion of assets under management participated in the survey from June 7 to June 13. A total of 190 managers, managing $572 billion, participated in the global survey.
Investors retreat from emerging markets and Japan The data show investor confidence has risen in the past month in spite of market instability and a 2.5% fall in global equities over the survey period. A net 56% of global investors believe the world economy will strengthen over the coming year, up from a net 48% in May. Equity allocations increased during the month, with a net 48% of asset allocators being overweight equities, compared with a net 41% in May.
Still, the survey showed that although allocations to the eurozone and U.S. rose, investment in global emerging market equities fell to their lowest since December 2008. A net 9% of asset allocators are now underweight emerging market equities--the first underweight reading since 2009 and down from a net 3% overweight reading last month.
underweight [ˌʌndə'weɪt] : вага нижче середнього
Investors now identify a China hard landing as the greatest tail risk--more of a concern than eurozone sovereigns or banks. A net 31% of regional fund managers say that China's economy will weaken in the coming 12 months, compared with a net 8% expressing that view in May.
"The biggest contrarian play in the market today is assets linked to China,"[Michael Hartnett, chief investment strategist at Merrill Lynch Global Research said. "The lows in emerging market equity and commodity allocations suggest the market has over-positioned itself for a shock from China."
A net 25% of the global panel says that emerging markets is the region they would most like to underweight in the coming 12 months, the lowest ever reading, according to the survey.
Bank of America noted allocations to commodities have also reached a record low with a net 32% of asset allocators holding underweight positions.
In Europe, the bank said optimism has risen. A net 6% of global asset allocators are overweight eurozone equities, representing a 14 percentage point swing from May when a net 8% were underweight. Last month, a net 13% selected the eurozone as the region they would most like to underweight in the coming year. That reading has now fallen to a net 1%.
Fear that Japan's three-pronged stimulus plan will fail has become investors' second-largest tail risk after China and interrupted the strong run in Japanese equities, Bank of America said. The survey showed the proportion of asset allocators overweight Japanese equities has fallen to a net 17% from May's seven-year high of a net 31%.
The survey also shows a rotation from bonds to equities. A net 50% of asset allocators say they are underweight bonds in June, up from a net 38% in May.
An overall total of 248 panelists with $708 billion of assets under management participated in the survey from June 7 to June 13. A total of 190 managers, managing $572 billion, participated in the global survey.
Wall робота у чолов`яги така бути глашатаєм охвіційної лінії ... ну хоч нам не забороняють відкривати демо-рахунки, щоби ми мали можливість обмінюватися малюночками та думками стосово валютного ринку в мірє ))
довга виснажуюча консолідація завершилася проривом зони спротиву 1,3515-1,3526 та переписом січневого максимуму, коли EUR/USD паралельно сходив на 1,37
чекаємо на ще більші досягнення. тьху-тьху-тьху ))
сила Євро у товарних кросах є неодмінною умовою поступального відновлення й у парі з всесильним Доляром
довга виснажуюча консолідація завершилася проривом зони спротиву 1,3515-1,3526 та переписом січневого максимуму, коли EUR/USD паралельно сходив на 1,37
чекаємо на ще більші досягнення. тьху-тьху-тьху ))
сила Євро у товарних кросах є неодмінною умовою поступального відновлення й у парі з всесильним Доляром
Major fall in GBP/USD projected, as cheap as 1.3266 - JPMorgan
The odds remain very much in favor of a major decline in GBP/USD, based on the down-breakout of a multiyear triangle in February, says Thomas Anthonj, FX Strategist at JPMorgan.
If the assumption from Anthonj is fullfiled, "we'd have to classify the 1.6379 to 1.4823 decline as wave 1 down so that the recovery since would classically form a zigzag countertrend rally (wave 2) which is already clearly visible" the Strategist notes.
Given the negative implications from the triangle breakout, Anthonj, in his own words, "would be very surprised if the market would find the inner strength to exceed 1.5784/88 (C = A/61.8 %) which would be the only way to delay acceleration lower in favor of an extension up to the highest T-junction at 1.6014 (65.4 %)."
Anthonj is looking for a break below 1.5498/88 (minor 38.2 %/pivot) to indicate "the countertrend rally top (wave 2) is in place, receiving its final confirmations via breaks below 1.5181 (minor 76.4 %) and below 1.5046 (daily trend)" the Strategist added.
Lastly, if the latter scenario is accomplished, it would free the way towards 1.4339/1.4228 (76.4 % on big scale/pivot), "before the 2009 low at 1.3504 and the projected wave 3 target at 1.3266 would come into focus" Anthinj concludes.
нічого спеціально ми не будемо робити аби тільки здивувати шановного стратега просто занотуємо вказані на рості рівні як зони спротиву, а там побачимо хто куди.